Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.158114 0.180124 0.204539 0.233709 0.267710 0.306212 0.353278
2026-01-25 0.122799 0.151857 0.187254 0.233889 0.294215 0.370300 0.474607
2026-02-01 0.101970 0.133655 0.174932 0.233348 0.315033 0.426904 0.594693
2026-02-08 0.087233 0.119642 0.164145 0.230830 0.330154 0.475755 0.711304
2026-02-15 0.076222 0.108551 0.154942 0.227902 0.342620 0.521049 0.829740
2026-02-22 0.069688 0.102691 0.151989 0.233057 0.367139 0.587701 0.994710
2026-03-01 0.062431 0.094680 0.144520 0.229667 0.376794 0.630982 1.127710
2026-03-08 0.057124 0.088971 0.139771 0.229730 0.391755 0.685162 1.291389
2026-03-15 0.052608 0.083959 0.135444 0.229697 0.406176 0.740283 1.468445
2026-03-22 0.049628 0.081114 0.134319 0.234978 0.430900 0.818831 1.711704
2026-03-29 0.046721 0.078054 0.132416 0.238459 0.452505 0.894719 1.967244
2026-04-05 0.044081 0.075170 0.130462 0.241491 0.473515 0.972911 2.247607
2026-04-12 0.042018 0.073173 0.130010 0.247615 0.502440 1.075072 2.618521
2026-04-19 0.039452 0.070010 0.127052 0.248330 0.519951 1.155085 2.956353
2026-04-26 0.037011 0.066842 0.123733 0.247830 0.534623 1.231255 3.306769
2026-05-03 0.034581 0.063467 0.119653 0.245144 0.543758 1.295488 3.642463
2026-05-10 0.032347 0.060272 0.115609 0.242010 0.551296 1.357130 3.990259
2026-05-17 0.031148 0.059024 0.115421 0.247531 0.581136 1.485059 4.597891
2026-05-24 0.029223 0.056134 0.111504 0.243901 0.586987 1.547223 5.002475
2026-05-31 0.027778 0.054116 0.109260 0.243968 0.602638 1.641455 5.558993
2026-06-07 0.026442 0.052213 0.107084 0.243933 0.618047 1.738601 6.165618
2026-06-14 0.025636 0.051373 0.107187 0.249589 0.650408 1.896723 7.085729
2026-06-21 0.024740 0.050262 0.106565 0.253318 0.677926 2.046126 8.038109